Liverpool
63%
Draw
21%
Villarreal
16%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Liverpool
4 — 3
VillarrealLiverpool wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Liverpool.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 62% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 62% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Liverpool | XDraw | 2Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.61 | 4.68 | 6.09 |
| Kalshi | 1.59 | 4.76 | 6.25 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.62 | 4.75 | 5.80 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Liverpool | XDraw | 2Villarreal |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.61 | 4.70 | 5.80 |
 Coolbet | 1.57 | 4.55 | 6.00 |
 Matchbook | 1.61 | 4.70 | 5.90 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.55 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
 Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.55 | 5.55 |
 William Hill | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
 Marathon | 1.55 | 4.60 | 5.90 |
 BetOnline | 1.56 | 4.65 | 5.66 |
 888sport | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.67 | 5.99 |
 BetAnySports | 1.56 | 4.65 | 5.66 |
 Betclic | 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.25 |
 Betsson | 1.58 | 4.35 | 5.40 |
 Codere | 1.58 | 4.50 | 5.20 |
 GTbets | 1.52 | 4.66 | 5.55 |
 LeoVegas | 1.51 | 4.40 | 5.60 |
 NordicBet | 1.58 | 4.40 | 5.45 |
PMU | 1.48 | 4.25 | 5.25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.56 | 4.50 | 4.80 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52 | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.62 | 4.75 | 5.80 |
Liverpool win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 4 meetings
LiverpoolVillarreal
May 3, 22
Villarreal
2-3
LiverpoolApr 27, 22
Liverpool
2-0
VillarrealMay 5, 16
Liverpool
3-0
VillarrealApr 28, 16
Villarreal
1-0
LiverpoolFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Liverpool vs Villarreal?
Liverpool won 4–3.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Liverpool was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Liverpool 63%, draw 21%, Villarreal 16%).
