ligue1Full Time

Lorient vs Monaco

Sunday, October 18, 2026

Lorient

25%

Draw

28%

Monaco

47%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Lorient

1 — 0

Monaco

Lorient wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lorient.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Monaco	Monaco	25%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Monaco	Monaco	24%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Monaco	Monaco	25%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Lorient	XDraw	2Monaco
Polymarket	4.06	3.49	2.14
Kalshi	4.10	3.59	2.09
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	3.99	3.63	2.11

Sportsbook Odds22 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Lorient	XDraw	2Monaco
Pinnacle	4.08	3.53	2.00
Betfair	4.00	3.50	2.12
1xBet	3.76	3.61	2.00
Coolbet	4.08	3.50	2.00
William Hill	3.75	3.30	1.95
Marathon	3.90	3.45	2.01
BetOnline	4.03	3.42	2.02
888sport	3.40	3.30	2.05
Betclic	3.70	3.40	1.90
Betsson	3.75	3.35	2.02
Codere	3.80	3.50	1.99
Everygame	3.90	3.45	1.95
GTbets	3.71	3.41	2.05
LeoVegas	3.85	3.55	2.06
NordicBet	3.75	3.35	2.02
PMU	3.60	3.35	1.96
Tipico	3.90	3.40	1.93
Unibet (FR)	3.50	3.30	1.92
Unibet (NL)	3.65	3.35	1.97
Unibet (SE)	3.85	3.55	2.06
Winamax (DE)	3.60	3.55	1.96
Winamax (FR)	3.50	3.45	1.92
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)	3.99	3.63	2.11