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Lorient vs Paris FC

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Lorient

25%

Draw

28%

Paris FC

47%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Lorient

1 — 0

Paris FC

Lorient wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lorient.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Paris FC	Paris FC	25%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Paris FC	Paris FC	25%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Paris FC	Paris FC	27%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Lorient	XDraw	2Paris FC
Polymarket	4.06	3.49	2.14
Kalshi	4.04	3.61	2.10
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	3.74	3.54	2.22

Sportsbook Odds20 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Lorient	XDraw	2Paris FC
Pinnacle	3.80	3.31	2.16
Betfair	3.80	3.45	2.20
1xBet	3.70	3.50	2.18
Coolbet	3.80	3.35	2.12
GTbets	3.47	3.40	2.20
William Hill	3.40	3.25	2.05
BetOnline	3.70	3.38	2.13
888sport	3.40	3.25	2.05
Betclic	3.42	3.38	2.08
Betsson	3.60	3.30	2.08
Codere	3.45	3.40	2.13
Everygame	3.65	3.25	2.10
LeoVegas	3.60	3.45	2.17
NordicBet	3.60	3.30	2.10
Tipico	3.70	3.20	2.05
Unibet (FR)	3.40	3.40	2.00
Unibet (NL)	3.50	3.35	2.12
Unibet (SE)	3.60	3.45	2.17
Winamax (DE)	3.35	3.45	2.10
Winamax (FR)	3.25	3.40	2.05
Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed)	3.74	3.54	2.22