Lyon
44%
Draw
26%
Crystal Palace
31%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Lyon
3 — 2
Crystal PalaceLyon wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lyon.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Lyon | Lyon | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Lyon | Lyon | 44% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lyon | Lyon | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lyon | XDraw | 2Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.31 | 3.79 | 3.29 |
| Kalshi | 2.28 | 3.94 | 3.24 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.32 | 3.84 | 3.24 |
Lyon win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Lyon vs Crystal Palace?
Lyon won 3–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Lyon was the favourite at 44% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lyon 44%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 31%).
