Lyon
2 — 1
NiceLyon wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Lyon.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Lyon | Lyon | 49% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Lyon | Lyon | 49% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Lyon | Lyon | 51% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Lyon | XDraw | 2Nice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.03 | 3.94 | 3.94 |
| Kalshi | 2.06 | 3.88 | 3.89 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.95 | 4.00 | 4.21 |
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Lyon | XDraw | 2Nice |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.92 | 3.95 | 4.30 |
 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.98 | 4.21 |
 Pinnacle | 1.91 | 3.86 | 4.06 |
 William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
 Marathon | 1.87 | 3.92 | 4.15 |
 BetOnline | 1.86 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
 888sport | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
 Betclic | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
 Betsson | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.95 |
 Codere | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.95 |
 Coolbet | 1.89 | 3.85 | 4.10 |
 GTbets | 1.87 | 3.90 | 4.03 |
 LeoVegas | 1.88 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
 NordicBet | 1.85 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
PMU | 1.82 | 3.65 | 3.90 |
 Tipico | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.77 | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.95 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.84 | 3.90 | 3.75 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.65 |
| Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed) | 1.95 | 4.00 | 4.21 |
Lyon win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
LyonNice
Feb 15, 26
Lyon
2-0
NiceOct 18, 25
Nice
3-2
LyonMar 9, 25
Nice
0-2
LyonDec 1, 24
Lyon
4-1
NiceFeb 16, 24
Lyon
1-0
NiceAug 27, 23
Nice
0-0
LyonJun 3, 23
Nice
3-1
LyonNov 11, 22
Lyon
1-1
NiceFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Lyon vs Nice?
Lyon won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Lyon was the favourite at 49% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Lyon 49%, draw 26%, Nice 26%).
