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Saturday, November 7, 2026

Mainz
13%
Draw
14%
Bayern Munich
73%

Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket7.527.001.38
Kalshi7.447.181.38
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)7.086.451.42
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
7.607.001.36
1xBet
7.706.331.37
Matchbook
7.607.001.36
Unibet (SE)
6.506.101.42
Pinnacle
6.766.711.35
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)7.086.451.42

Mainz win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.

Mewa Arena, Mainz
League Position
9
Mainz
Mainz
LLWLW
P
8
GD
0
Pts
10
1
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
DWWDW
P
8
GD
+19
Pts
18
Season Stats
Mainz
vs
Bayern Munich
17
Goals Scored
27
17
Goals Conceded
8
2.1
Avg Goals/Game
3.4
3
Clean Sheets
2
1
Failed to Score
1
0W-1D-3L
Home Record
3W-1D-0L
3W-0D-1L
Away Record
2W-2D-0L
3-5-2
Formation
4-2-3-1
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Apr 25, 26
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayern München
Dec 14, 25
Bayern München
2-2
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 26, 25
Bayern München
3-0
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 14, 24
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
Bayern München
Oct 30, 24
FSV Mainz 05
0-4
Bayern München
Mar 9, 24
Bayern Munich
8-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 21, 23
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
Bayern Munich
Apr 22, 23
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Bayern Munich
Injuries & Suspensions
Mainz
B. Hollerbach
Lacking Match Fitness
E. Martel
Knee Injury
P. Nebel
Muscle Injury
Silas
Broken shinbone
D. Kohr
Foot Injury
Bayern Munich
T. Buchmann
Knee Injury
S. Gnabry
Muscle Injury
J. Musiala
Health problems
M. Neuer
Foot Injury
L. Diaz
Muscle Injury
Key Players
Mainz
A. Caci
Midfielder · 8 apps
3
Goals
3
Assists
S. Becker
Attacker · 8 apps
2
Goals
4
Assists
P. Tietz
Attacker · 8 apps
5
Goals
0
Assists
Lee Jae-Sung
Midfielder · 7 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
P. Mwene
Midfielder · 8 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
Bayern Munich
H. Kane
Attacker · 8 apps
4
Goals
6
Assists
M. Olise
Midfielder · 8 apps
6
Goals
3
Assists
L. Díaz
Midfielder · 6 apps
4
Goals
1
Assists
I. Saibari
Midfielder · 8 apps
2
Goals
2
Assists
J. Kimmich
Midfielder · 7 apps
0
Goals
3
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the favourite for Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is the favourite at 73% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: Mainz 13%, draw 14%, Bayern Munich 73%.

What is Mainz's current form?

Mainz's last 5 results: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Win.

Are there any injuries for Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

Mainz has 8 players injured or doubtful. Bayern Munich has 8 players injured or doubtful.

Where can I bet on Mainz vs Bayern Munich?

On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.

Where is Mainz vs Bayern Munich being played?

At Mewa Arena, Mainz.

Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
Mainz
1xBet
7.70
13% implied
Draw
Betfair
7.00
14% implied
Bayern Munich
Unibet (SE)
1.42
70% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.