Manchester City
65%
Draw
19%
Bournemouth
16%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Manchester City
2 — 1
BournemouthManchester City wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Manchester City.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 65% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 65% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Manchester City | XDraw | 2Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.53 | 5.32 | 6.31 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.54 | 5.15 | 6.34 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Manchester City | XDraw | 2Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.46 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
 1xBet | 1.49 | 5.23 | 6.45 |
 Matchbook | 1.46 | 5.50 | 7.20 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.42 | 5.30 | 7.50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42 | 5.30 | 7.50 |
 Pinnacle | 1.45 | 5.05 | 5.97 |
 William Hill | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.80 |
 Marathon | 1.47 | 5.15 | 6.35 |
 BetOnline | 1.44 | 5.25 | 6.55 |
 MyBookie | 1.45 | 4.80 | 5.60 |
 888sport | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
 Betclic | 1.42 | 4.70 | 5.50 |
 Betsson | 1.46 | 4.60 | 6.60 |
 Codere | 1.47 | 5.00 | 5.80 |
 Coolbet | 1.44 | 5.10 | 6.30 |
 LeoVegas | 1.40 | 5.10 | 7.00 |
 NordicBet | 1.46 | 4.60 | 6.60 |
PMU | 1.38 | 4.90 | 6.75 |
 Tipico | 1.40 | 5.20 | 6.50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41 | 4.75 | 5.50 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.41 | 5.00 | 5.70 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40 | 4.90 | 5.60 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.51 | 5.29 | 6.64 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Manchester City vs Bournemouth?
Manchester City won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester City was the favourite at 65% on Kalshi (closing prices: Manchester City 65%, draw 19%, Bournemouth 16%).
