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Manchester City vs Brighton

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Manchester City

56%

Draw

23%

Brighton

22%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Manchester City

0 — 1

Brighton

Brighton wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Brighton.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Manchester City	Manchester City	22%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Manchester City	Manchester City	22%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester City	Manchester City	22%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Manchester City	XDraw	2Brighton
Polymarket	1.79	4.42	4.63
Kalshi	1.79	4.43	4.64
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.78	4.47	4.65

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Manchester City	XDraw	2Brighton
Betfair	1.76	4.30	4.80
Matchbook	1.76	4.30	4.80
Unibet (NL)	1.71	4.50	4.60
Unibet (SE)	1.71	4.50	4.60
Pinnacle	1.74	4.27	4.51
William Hill	1.70	4.00	4.20
Marathon	1.71	4.40	4.55
BetOnline	1.72	4.25	4.55
MyBookie	1.70	4.20	4.30
888sport	1.67	4.00	4.20
1xBet	1.74	4.47	4.62
BetAnySports	1.72	4.25	4.55
Betclic	1.64	4.20	4.20
Betsson	1.68	4.27	4.51
Codere	1.72	4.20	4.30
Coolbet	1.74	4.28	4.70
GTbets	1.68	4.26	4.42
LeoVegas	1.67	4.30	4.40
NordicBet	1.68	4.25	4.50
PMU	1.62	4.00	4.10
Tipico	1.65	4.30	4.50
Unibet (FR)	1.62	4.20	4.30
Winamax (DE)	1.68	4.20	4.10
Winamax (FR)	1.64	4.10	3.95
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	1.78	4.47	4.65