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Saturday, October 17, 2026

Manchester City
78%
Draw
14%
Ipswich Town
9%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Manchester CityManchester City
3 — 2
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
Manchester City wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Manchester City.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Manchester City78%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Manchester City77%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester City77%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.287.3711.71
Kalshi1.297.2811.34
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.307.3210.63

Manchester City win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Farai Hallam
Head to HeadLast 3 meetings
Manchester City
Ipswich Town
Oct 17, 26
Manchester City
3-2
Ipswich
Jan 19, 25
Ipswich
0-6
Manchester City
Aug 24, 24
Manchester City
4-1
Ipswich
Lineups
Manchester City4-2-3-1
Coach: E. Maresca
1G. DonnarummaG
27Matheus NunesD
3Rúben DiasD
6M. GuéhiD
33N. O'ReillyD
8M. KovačićM
32A. BouaddiM
7I. NdiayeM
47P. FodenM
11J. DokuM
9E. HaalandF
Ipswich3-4-2-1
Coach: G. O'Neil
28C. WaltonG
26D. O'SheaD
6I. DiopD
24J. GreavesD
42A. OuattaraM
12FlorentinoM
25E. PalaciosM
3L. DavisM
38D. MaedaM
10J. EncisoM
19EmersonnF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Manchester City vs Ipswich Town?

Manchester City won 3–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Manchester City was the favourite at 78% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Manchester City 78%, draw 14%, Ipswich Town 9%).