Manchester City
74%
Draw
17%
Sunderland
10%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Manchester City
5 — 3
SunderlandManchester City wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Manchester City.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 74% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 74% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Manchester City | XDraw | 2Sunderland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.36 | 6.00 | 10.20 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.35 | 6.03 | 10.50 |
Sportsbook Odds11 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Manchester City | XDraw | 2Sunderland |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.29 | 6.27 | 12.70 |
 Tipico | 1.25 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
 Betfair | 1.24 | 1.10 | 1.14 |
 William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
 MyBookie | 1.25 | 5.70 | 9.40 |
 888sport | 1.25 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
 Betclic | 1.23 | 5.60 | 9.25 |
 Codere | 1.27 | 6.20 | 10.00 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.21 | 5.30 | 8.70 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.25 | 5.90 | 8.50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21 | 5.10 | 7.25 |
| Fair odds (average of 11, margin removed) | 1.42 | 5.61 | 8.42 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Manchester City vs Sunderland?
Manchester City won 5–3.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester City was the favourite at 74% on Kalshi (closing prices: Manchester City 74%, draw 17%, Sunderland 10%).
