Manchester United
40%
Draw
28%
Bournemouth
33%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Manchester United
0 — 3
BournemouthBournemouth wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Bournemouth.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 33% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 32% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 32% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Manchester United | XDraw | 2Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.52 | 3.62 | 3.06 |
| Kalshi | 2.49 | 3.64 | 3.09 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.48 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
Sportsbook Odds24 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Manchester United | XDraw | 2Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 2.48 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.54 | 3.08 |
 Matchbook | 2.48 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
 Unibet (NL) | 2.38 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
 Pinnacle | 2.43 | 3.47 | 3.04 |
 William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
 Marathon | 2.41 | 3.48 | 3.04 |
 BetOnline | 2.44 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
 MyBookie | 2.39 | 3.38 | 2.89 |
 888sport | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
 BetAnySports | 2.36 | 3.52 | 3.01 |
 Betclic | 2.28 | 3.33 | 2.85 |
 Betsson | 2.37 | 3.43 | 2.96 |
 Codere | 2.41 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
 Coolbet | 2.46 | 3.53 | 3.02 |
 GTbets | 2.29 | 3.55 | 2.98 |
 LeoVegas | 2.32 | 3.55 | 2.90 |
 NordicBet | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
PMU | 2.20 | 3.35 | 2.80 |
 Tipico | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.85 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.35 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25 | 3.35 | 2.70 |
| Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed) | 2.48 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
Manchester United win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Manchester UnitedBournemouth
Oct 25, 26
Manchester United
0-3
BournemouthMar 20, 26
Bournemouth
2-2
Manchester UnitedDec 15, 25
Manchester United
4-4
BournemouthJul 31, 25
Manchester United
4-1
BournemouthApr 27, 25
Bournemouth
1-1
Manchester UnitedDec 22, 24
Manchester United
0-3
BournemouthApr 13, 24
Bournemouth
2-2
Manchester UnitedDec 9, 23
Manchester United
0-3
BournemouthLineups
Manchester United4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Carrick
1S. LammensG
15L. YoroD
5H. MaguireD
26A. HeavenD
2Diogo DalotD
17Andrey SantosM
20C. BalebaM
16A. DialloM
18Y. TielemansM
7M. MountM
19B. MbeumoF
Bournemouth4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Rose
1Đ. PetrovićG
15A. SmithD
5J. HillD
14António SilvaD
3A. TruffertD
12T. AdamsM
4L. CookM
37RayanM
19J. KluivertM
16M. TavernierM
9EvanilsonF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Manchester United vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester United was the favourite at 40% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Manchester United 40%, draw 28%, Bournemouth 33%).
