Manchester United
56%
Draw
22%
Tottenham
21%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Manchester United
1 — 1
TottenhamDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 22% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 23% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester United | Manchester United | 23% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Manchester United | XDraw | 2Tottenham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.78 | 4.47 | 4.68 |
| Kalshi | 1.79 | 4.43 | 4.64 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.81 | 4.37 | 4.55 |
Manchester United win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Manchester UnitedTottenham
Feb 7, 26
Manchester United
2-0
TottenhamNov 8, 25
Tottenham
2-2
Manchester UnitedMay 21, 25
Tottenham
1-0
Manchester UnitedFeb 16, 25
Tottenham
1-0
Manchester UnitedDec 19, 24
Tottenham
4-3
Manchester UnitedSep 29, 24
Manchester United
0-3
TottenhamJan 14, 24
Manchester United
2-2
TottenhamAug 19, 23
Tottenham
2-0
Manchester UnitedLineups
Manchester United4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Carrick
1S. LammensG
15L. YoroD
5H. MaguireD
6Lisandro MartínezD
23L. ShawD
18Y. TielemansM
37K. MainooM
16A. DialloM
8Bruno FernandesM
10Matheus CunhaM
19B. MbeumoF
Tottenham4-2-3-1
Coach: R. De Zerbi
31A. KinskýG
14A. GrayD
6J. van HeckeD
5M. SenesiD
13D. UdogieD
15L. BergvallM
16S. TonaliM
20M. KudusM
8C. GallagherM
17SávioM
19D. SolankeF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Manchester United vs Tottenham?
Manchester United vs Tottenham ended in a 1–1 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester United was the favourite at 56% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Manchester United 56%, draw 22%, Tottenham 21%).
