Marseille
4 — 3
Le HavreMarseille wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Marseille.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Marseille | Marseille | 67% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Marseille | Marseille | 66% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Marseille | Marseille | 65% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Marseille | XDraw | 2Le Havre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.50 | 5.10 | 7.37 |
| Kalshi | 1.51 | 5.05 | 7.22 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.54 | 5.15 | 6.36 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Marseille | XDraw | 2Le Havre |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.49 | 5.10 | 7.20 |
 1xBet | 1.53 | 5.08 | 6.05 |
 Pinnacle | 1.48 | 5.05 | 6.39 |
 William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
 Marathon | 1.49 | 4.95 | 5.90 |
 BetOnline | 1.48 | 5.00 | 6.35 |
 888sport | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
 Betclic | 1.42 | 4.90 | 5.75 |
 Betsson | 1.44 | 4.80 | 6.30 |
 Codere | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.20 |
 Coolbet | 1.50 | 4.85 | 6.10 |
 Everygame | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
 GTbets | 1.48 | 4.93 | 5.76 |
 LeoVegas | 1.50 | 5.00 | 6.40 |
 NordicBet | 1.44 | 4.85 | 6.30 |
PMU | 1.43 | 4.50 | 5.60 |
 Tipico | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.20 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.41 | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44 | 4.70 | 5.80 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50 | 5.00 | 6.40 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.43 | 5.00 | 5.70 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41 | 4.90 | 5.50 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.54 | 5.14 | 6.36 |
Marseille win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
MarseilleLe Havre
Oct 25, 26
Marseille
4-3
Le HavreMay 10, 26
Le Havre
0-1
MarseilleOct 18, 25
Marseille
6-2
Le HavreMay 10, 25
Le Havre
1-3
MarseilleJan 5, 25
Marseille
5-1
Le HavreMay 19, 24
Le Havre
1-2
MarseilleOct 8, 23
Marseille
3-0
Le HavreJan 22, 12
Marseille
3-1
Le HavreLineups
Marseille
Coach: Bruno Genesio
8H. AbdelliM
1J. de LangeG
14Igor PaixãoF
6T. NnadiM
23P. HøjbjergM
77A. HaritM
9A. GouiriF
33EmersonD
4C. Egan-RileyD
21N. AguerdD
22T. WeahM
Le Havre
Coach: D. Digard
93G. GallonG
26S. EbonogM
38R. FofanaF
6J. MwangaM
14R. NdiayeM
20D. OuziadF
7A. RichardsonM
25M. SamattaF
15A. SekoD
27E. Koffi VinetteF
5A. ToubaD
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Marseille vs Le Havre?
Marseille won 4–3.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Marseille was the favourite at 67% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Marseille 67%, draw 20%, Le Havre 14%).
