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Sunday, November 22, 2026

Marseille
67%
Draw
19%
Le Mans
14%

Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.495.137.41
Kalshi1.485.676.80
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.515.116.99
Sportsbook Odds19 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
William Hill
1.404.507.00
888sport
1.404.507.00
1xBet
1.485.146.88
Codere
1.404.907.00
LeoVegas
1.475.007.00
Fair odds (average of 19, margin removed)1.515.116.99

Marseille win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.

Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
League Position
4
Marseille
Marseille
WWWWW
P
10
GD
+8
Pts
18
15
Le Mans
Le Mans
DLDLL
P
10
GD
-7
Pts
8
Season Stats
Marseille
vs
Le Mans
22
Goals Scored
12
14
Goals Conceded
19
2.2
Avg Goals/Game
1.2
3
Clean Sheets
0
2
Failed to Score
2
3W-0D-2L
Home Record
1W-3D-1L
3W-0D-2L
Away Record
0W-2D-3L
4-2-3-1
Formation
3-1-4-2
Injuries & Suspensions
Marseille
L. Balerdi
Calf Injury
F. Moumbagna
Injury
Q. Timber
Yellow Cards
I. Paixao
Muscle Injury
G. Kondogbia
Thigh Injury
Le Mans
H. Voyer
Yellow Cards
R. Bamba
Loan agreement
E. Colas
Injury
Y. Larouci
Concussion
S. Yohou
Thigh Injury
Key Players
Marseille
A. Gouiri
Attacker · 9 apps
6
Goals
3
Assists
A. Harit
Midfielder · 9 apps
3
Goals
1
Assists
T. Weah
Defender · 8 apps
1
Goals
2
Assists
Emerson
Defender · 9 apps
0
Goals
3
Assists
Igor Paixão
Midfielder · 8 apps
2
Goals
1
Assists
Le Mans
L. Mafouta
Attacker · 9 apps
4
Goals
1
Assists
L. Calodat
Defender · 9 apps
1
Goals
2
Assists
D. Guèye
Attacker · 9 apps
1
Goals
0
Assists
H. Diallo
Attacker · 7 apps
1
Goals
0
Assists
J. Vercruysse
Midfielder · 8 apps
0
Goals
1
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions

Who is the favourite for Marseille vs Le Mans?

Marseille is the favourite at 67% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: Marseille 67%, draw 19%, Le Mans 14%.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille's last 5 results: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win.

Are there any injuries for Marseille vs Le Mans?

Marseille has 10 players injured or doubtful. Le Mans has 10 players injured or doubtful.

Where can I bet on Marseille vs Le Mans?

On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.

Where is Marseille vs Le Mans being played?

At Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.

Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
Marseille
1xBet
1.48
68% implied
Draw
Winamax (DE)
5.20
19% implied
Le Mans
Unibet (SE)
7.00
14% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.