Middlesbrough
80%
Draw
13%
Charlton Athletic
7%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Middlesbrough
3 — 0
Middlesbrough wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Middlesbrough.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 81% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Middlesbrough | 79% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Middlesbrough | Middlesbrough | 76% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Middlesbrough | XDraw | 2Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 7.96 | 15.31 | |
| 1.26 | 7.84 | 12.76 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.32 | 6.69 | 11.04 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Middlesbrough | XDraw | 2Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | 7.00 | 13.50 | |
| 1.29 | 6.06 | 10.40 | |
| 1.26 | 7.00 | 13.50 | |
| 1.26 | 6.54 | 10.38 | |
| 1.25 | 6.00 | 10.00 | |
| 1.22 | 6.20 | 10.50 | |
| 1.26 | 6.35 | 10.00 | |
| 1.25 | 5.75 | 10.00 | |
| 1.23 | 6.20 | 10.50 | |
| 1.18 | 5.90 | 9.50 | |
| 1.20 | 6.60 | 12.50 | |
| 1.24 | 6.60 | 11.00 | |
| 1.26 | 6.25 | 11.00 | |
| 1.27 | 6.50 | 10.50 | |
| 1.21 | 6.63 | 12.58 | |
PMU | 1.20 | 5.75 | 8.50 |
| 1.17 | 6.50 | 11.00 | |
| 1.16 | 5.90 | 9.50 | |
| 1.23 | 5.80 | 9.00 | |
| 1.25 | 6.10 | 9.50 | |
| 1.21 | 6.25 | 8.50 | |
| 1.20 | 6.00 | 8.50 | |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.32 | 6.69 | 11.04 |
Middlesbrough win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Charlton Athletic
Oct 31, 26
Middlesbrough
3-0
CharltonMar 11, 26
Middlesbrough
0-1
CharltonDec 9, 25
Charlton
1-2
MiddlesbroughMar 7, 20
Charlton
0-1
MiddlesbroughDec 7, 19
Middlesbrough
1-0
CharltonMar 13, 16
Charlton
2-0
MiddlesbroughOct 31, 15
Middlesbrough
3-0
CharltonFeb 7, 15
Middlesbrough
3-1
CharltonLineups
Middlesbrough4-2-3-1
Coach: K. Hellberg
1R. VítekG
2C. BrittainD
4A. PhillipsD
29A. MalandaD
30Neto BorgesD
6S. BerhalterM
10A. MorrisM
11A. Cozier-DuberryM
8R. McGreeM
9T. ConwayM
7W. LankshearF
Charlton5-3-2
Coach: N. Jones
13A. OkonkwoG
2K. RamsayD
5L. JonesD
44Tyler BindonD
12Billy Dawson KoumetioD
17A. BellD
8H. KnibbsM
34O. SkippM
23C. KelmanM
26J. Rankin-CostelloF
11M. LeaburnF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic?
Middlesbrough won 3–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Middlesbrough was the favourite at 80% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Middlesbrough 80%, draw 13%, Charlton Athletic 7%).