Millwall vs Derby County

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Millwall

59%

Draw

24%

Derby County

18%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Millwall

4 — 1

Derby County

Millwall wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Millwall.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Millwall	Millwall	59%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Millwall	Millwall	59%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Millwall	Millwall	57%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Millwall	XDraw	2Derby County
Polymarket	1.70	4.23	5.69
Kalshi	1.70	4.25	5.67
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.75	4.17	5.27

Sportsbook Odds22 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Millwall	XDraw	2Derby County
Betfair	1.70	4.20	5.60
LeoVegas	1.71	4.00	5.10
Matchbook	1.70	4.20	5.60
Pinnacle	1.66	4.09	5.31
William Hill	1.65	3.80	4.80
Marathon	1.62	3.94	4.95
BetOnline	1.62	4.10	5.30
888sport	1.65	3.75	4.80
1xBet	1.64	3.94	4.89
Betclic	1.56	3.73	4.75
Betsson	1.68	3.85	4.85
Codere	1.67	3.95	5.00
Coolbet	1.65	4.00	5.00
GTbets	1.65	3.76	5.02
NordicBet	1.68	3.86	4.91
PMU	1.60	3.60	4.50
Tipico	1.55	4.00	4.90
Unibet (FR)	1.52	3.70	4.70
Unibet (NL)	1.64	3.70	4.60
Unibet (SE)	1.66	3.80	4.80
Winamax (DE)	1.60	3.90	4.60
Winamax (FR)	1.58	3.80	4.50
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)	1.75	4.17	5.27