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Monaco vs Lille

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Monaco

50%

Draw

27%

Lille

23%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Monaco

1 — 1

Lille

Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Monaco	Monaco	27%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Monaco	Monaco	28%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Monaco	Monaco	27%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Monaco	XDraw	2Lille
Polymarket	1.97	3.75	4.42
Kalshi	2.06	3.61	4.21
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.05	3.69	4.14

Sportsbook Odds21 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Monaco	XDraw	2Lille
Betfair	2.00	3.60	4.30
1xBet	2.06	3.49	4.08
Coolbet	1.95	3.45	4.30
LeoVegas	1.97	3.65	4.00
Unibet (SE)	1.97	3.65	4.00
Pinnacle	1.96	3.61	4.13
William Hill	1.91	3.50	3.60
Marathon	2.01	3.40	3.98
BetOnline	1.97	3.50	4.13
888sport	1.91	3.50	3.60
Betclic	1.88	3.45	3.70
Betsson	1.95	3.40	3.85
Codere	1.94	3.60	3.90
GTbets	2.00	3.54	3.78
NordicBet	1.95	3.40	3.90
PMU	1.88	3.35	3.65
Tipico	1.85	3.50	4.10
Unibet (FR)	1.86	3.40	3.60
Unibet (NL)	1.92	3.45	3.80
Winamax (DE)	1.88	3.45	3.90
Winamax (FR)	1.86	3.35	3.85
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)	2.05	3.69	4.14