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Monaco vs Toulouse

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Monaco

59%

Draw

23%

Toulouse

18%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Monaco

2 — 2

Toulouse

Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Monaco	Monaco	23%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Monaco	Monaco	23%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Monaco	Monaco	22%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Monaco	XDraw	2Toulouse
Polymarket	1.70	4.42	5.38
Kalshi	1.68	4.39	5.61
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.67	4.51	5.52

Sportsbook Odds20 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Monaco	XDraw	2Toulouse
Betfair	1.67	4.40	5.70
LeoVegas	1.57	4.40	5.80
Unibet (SE)	1.57	4.40	5.80
Winamax (DE)	1.56	4.50	4.80
Pinnacle	1.61	4.33	5.47
William Hill	1.60	4.00	4.80
BetOnline	1.61	4.33	5.44
888sport	1.60	4.00	4.80
1xBet	1.64	4.45	5.49
Betclic	1.55	4.30	5.00
Betsson	1.58	4.15	5.30
Codere	1.60	4.40	5.20
Coolbet	1.65	4.35	5.05
Everygame	1.60	4.20	5.25
GTbets	1.60	4.27	5.30
NordicBet	1.58	4.20	5.35
Tipico	1.55	4.20	5.30
Unibet (FR)	1.53	4.20	5.00
Unibet (NL)	1.56	4.30	5.60
Winamax (FR)	1.54	4.40	4.70
Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed)	1.67	4.52	5.52