Monza
4 — 0
CagliariMonza wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Monza.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Monza | Monza | 40% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Monza | Monza | 39% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Monza | Monza | 40% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Monza | XDraw | 2Cagliari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.52 | 3.37 | 3.26 |
| Kalshi | 2.59 | 3.37 | 3.16 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.52 | 3.38 | 3.26 |
Monza win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 5 meetings
MonzaCagliari
Oct 19, 26
Monza
3-0
CagliariMar 30, 25
Cagliari
3-0
MonzaJan 5, 25
Monza
1-2
CagliariMar 16, 24
Monza
1-0
CagliariNov 26, 23
Cagliari
1-1
MonzaLineups
Monza3-4-2-1
Coach: I. Juric
1N. TörnqvistG
60E. KouadioD
2S. GoglichidzeD
44A. CarboniD
19S. BirindelliM
8M. OndoaM
14E. AkinsanmiroM
7Ricardo MangasM
47Dany MotaM
46Jay RobinsonM
9Gustavo VarelaF
Cagliari4-3-1-2
Coach: F. Pisacane
1E. CaprileG
2Zé PedroD
26Y. MinaD
15J. RodríguezD
33A. ObertD
8M. AdopoM
6H. WinksM
4A. RomanoM
70D. MaldiniM
31P. MendyF
18M'Bala NzolaF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Monza vs Cagliari?
Monza won 4–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Monza was the favourite at 39% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Monza 39%, draw 30%, Cagliari 31%).
