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Monza vs Napoli

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Monza

17%

Draw

22%

Napoli

62%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Monza

1 — 4

Napoli

Napoli wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Napoli.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Napoli	Napoli	62%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Napoli	Napoli	62%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Napoli	Napoli	56%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Monza	XDraw	2Napoli
Polymarket	6.03	4.63	1.62
Kalshi	6.00	4.64	1.62
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	4.94	4.17	1.79

Sportsbook Odds23 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Monza	XDraw	2Napoli
Betfair	5.30	4.10	1.75
1xBet	4.83	4.17	1.76
GTbets	4.43	3.96	1.79
Matchbook	5.30	4.10	1.75
Pinnacle	4.88	4.06	1.72
William Hill	4.33	3.75	1.73
Marathon	4.70	4.05	1.71
BetOnline	5.00	4.05	1.70
888sport	4.33	3.75	1.73
BetAnySports	5.00	4.05	1.70
Betclic	4.50	3.83	1.65
Betsson	4.80	4.00	1.68
Codere	4.70	4.00	1.71
Coolbet	4.74	4.04	1.75
LeoVegas	4.50	3.75	1.66
NordicBet	4.75	3.95	1.68
PMU	4.40	3.70	1.64
Tipico	4.90	4.00	1.65
Unibet (FR)	4.40	3.80	1.62
Unibet (NL)	4.75	3.95	1.70
Unibet (SE)	4.90	4.00	1.72
Winamax (DE)	4.40	4.00	1.68
Winamax (FR)	4.20	3.85	1.64
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)	4.94	4.17	1.79