Napoli
17%
Draw
25%
Arsenal
58%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Napoli
0 — 1
ArsenalArsenal wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Arsenal.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Arsenal | Arsenal | 55% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Napoli | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 6.00 | 3.92 | 1.73 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 5.10 | 3.87 | 1.83 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Napoli | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 4.40 | 3.70 | 1.92 |
 Unibet (NL) | 4.70 | 3.85 | 1.82 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70 | 3.85 | 1.82 |
 Pinnacle | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.83 |
 William Hill | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
 Marathon | 4.30 | 3.82 | 1.86 |
 888sport | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
 1xBet | 4.33 | 3.84 | 1.87 |
 Betclic | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.79 |
 Betsson | 4.45 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
 Codere | 4.10 | 3.65 | 1.88 |
 Coolbet | 4.30 | 3.80 | 1.86 |
 GTbets | 4.11 | 3.65 | 1.88 |
 LeoVegas | 4.40 | 3.70 | 1.76 |
 NordicBet | 4.45 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
PMU | 4.40 | 3.70 | 1.76 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70 | 3.40 | 1.78 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.85 | 3.65 | 1.82 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.45 | 3.30 | 1.70 |
Suprabets | 4.00 | 3.57 | 1.79 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 4.43 | 3.88 | 1.94 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Napoli vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Arsenal was the favourite at 58% on Kalshi (closing prices: Napoli 17%, draw 25%, Arsenal 58%).
