Napoli
58%
Draw
23%
Bodø/Glimt
19%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Napoli
4 — 3
Bodø/GlimtNapoli wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Napoli.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Napoli | Napoli | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Napoli | Napoli | 58% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Napoli | Napoli | 55% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Napoli | XDraw | 2Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.72 | 4.28 | 5.43 |
| Kalshi | 1.73 | 4.25 | 5.37 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.83 | 4.20 | 4.65 |
Napoli win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
Napoli won 4–3.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Napoli was the favourite at 58% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Napoli 58%, draw 23%, Bodø/Glimt 19%).
