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Napoli vs Frosinone

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Napoli

63%

Draw

21%

Frosinone

16%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Napoli

3 — 0

Frosinone

Napoli wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Napoli.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Napoli	Napoli	63%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Napoli	Napoli	62%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Napoli	Napoli	62%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Napoli	XDraw	2Frosinone
Polymarket	1.58	4.67	6.49
Kalshi	1.60	4.81	5.94
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.61	4.80	5.85

Sportsbook Odds22 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Napoli	XDraw	2Frosinone
Betfair	1.59	4.70	6.20
Matchbook	1.59	4.70	6.20
Unibet (NL)	1.50	4.80	6.00
Unibet (SE)	1.50	4.80	6.00
Pinnacle	1.56	4.60	5.90
William Hill	1.50	4.33	5.00
BetOnline	1.54	4.60	5.90
888sport	1.50	4.33	5.00
1xBet	1.58	4.79	5.81
BetAnySports	1.54	4.60	5.90
Betclic	1.52	4.50	5.25
Betsson	1.55	4.40	5.40
Codere	1.55	4.60	5.40
Coolbet	1.58	4.45	5.80
Everygame	1.53	4.40	5.75
GTbets	1.55	4.71	5.70
LeoVegas	1.45	4.50	5.50
NordicBet	1.55	4.35	5.40
Tipico	1.50	4.60	5.70
Unibet (FR)	1.46	4.40	5.10
Winamax (DE)	1.52	4.70	5.00
Winamax (FR)	1.50	4.50	4.90
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)	1.61	4.80	5.86