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Napoli vs Roma

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Napoli

35%

Draw

29%

Roma

36%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Napoli

3 — 3

Roma

Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Napoli	Napoli	29%	✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Roma	Roma	29%	✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Roma	Roma	29%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Napoli	XDraw	2Roma
Polymarket	2.83	3.41	2.83
Kalshi	2.91	3.40	2.76
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.83	3.45	2.81

Sportsbook Odds23 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Napoli	XDraw	2Roma
Pinnacle	2.82	3.29	2.72
Betfair	2.82	3.35	2.84
1xBet	2.72	3.43	2.80
Matchbook	2.82	3.35	2.82
William Hill	2.62	3.10	2.62
Marathon	2.68	3.38	2.76
BetOnline	2.68	3.33	2.76
888sport	2.62	3.10	2.62
BetAnySports	2.68	3.33	2.76
Betclic	2.62	3.18	2.53
Betsson	2.72	3.20	2.65
Codere	2.70	3.30	2.65
Coolbet	2.70	3.35	2.77
GTbets	2.67	3.42	2.64
LeoVegas	2.60	3.20	2.55
NordicBet	2.72	3.20	2.65
PMU	2.55	3.10	2.50
Tipico	2.75	3.20	2.60
Unibet (FR)	2.65	3.20	2.45
Unibet (NL)	2.70	3.30	2.65
Unibet (SE)	2.75	3.40	2.75
Winamax (DE)	2.60	3.30	2.60
Winamax (FR)	2.50	3.20	2.50
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)	2.83	3.45	2.80