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Thursday, October 15, 2026

NEC Nijmegen
51%
Draw
26%
Levski Sofia
23%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
1 — 1
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
Draw

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.

SourceResult %Verdict
KalshiFavourite: NEC Nijmegen26%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: NEC Nijmegen25%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
Platform1X2
Kalshi1.963.884.30
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.983.924.14

NEC Nijmegen win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia ended in a 1–1 draw.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

NEC Nijmegen was the favourite at 51% on Kalshi (closing prices: NEC Nijmegen 51%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 23%).