Newcastle
16%
Draw
22%
Arsenal
61%
Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Prediction markets vs bookmakers= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Newcastle | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.09 | 4.47 | 1.63 | |
| 6.06 | 4.48 | 1.63 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 5.77 | 4.42 | 1.67 |
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Newcastle | XDraw | 2Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.90 | 4.30 | 1.63 | |
| 5.65 | 4.42 | 1.63 | |
| 6.00 | 4.35 | 1.60 | |
| 6.00 | 4.35 | 1.60 | |
| 5.64 | 4.28 | 1.59 | |
| 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.60 | |
| 5.50 | 4.30 | 1.59 | |
| 5.10 | 4.00 | 1.57 | |
| 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.57 | |
| 4.85 | 3.85 | 1.50 | |
| 5.72 | 4.23 | 1.56 | |
| 5.40 | 4.00 | 1.60 | |
| 5.75 | 4.20 | 1.57 | |
| 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.55 | |
| 5.75 | 4.20 | 1.56 | |
| 5.75 | 4.25 | 1.55 | |
PMU | 5.10 | 3.80 | 1.47 |
| 5.70 | 4.20 | 1.55 | |
| 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.41 | |
| 5.10 | 4.30 | 1.54 | |
| 4.70 | 4.00 | 1.50 | |
| Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed) | 5.77 | 4.42 | 1.67 |
Newcastle win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.
St. James' Park, Newcastle
League Position
12
Newcastle
DLWLL
P
10
GD
-3
Pts
12
1
Arsenal
WWWWW
P
10
GD
+10
Pts
27
Season Stats
Arsenal
13
Goals Scored
15
16
Goals Conceded
5
1.3
Avg Goals/Game
1.5
2
Clean Sheets
7
2
Failed to Score
1
1W-2D-2L
Home Record
5W-0D-0L
2W-1D-2L
Away Record
4W-0D-1L
4-2-3-1
Formation
4-2-3-1
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Arsenal
Apr 25, 26
Arsenal
1-0
NewcastleSep 28, 25
Newcastle
1-2
ArsenalJul 27, 25
Arsenal
3-2
NewcastleMay 18, 25
Arsenal
1-0
NewcastleFeb 5, 25
Newcastle
2-0
ArsenalJan 7, 25
Arsenal
0-2
NewcastleNov 2, 24
Newcastle
1-0
ArsenalFeb 24, 24
Arsenal
4-1
NewcastleInjuries & Suspensions
Joelinton
V. Livramento
D. Burn
W. Osula
A. Elanga
Bruno Guimaraes
W. Saliba
J. Timber
Gabriel Jesus
G. Martinelli
Key Players
H. Barnes
Midfielder · 10 apps
2
Goals
2
Assists
J. Willock
Midfielder · 10 apps
2
Goals
0
Assists
A. Dedić
Defender · 8 apps
0
Goals
2
Assists
J. Murphy
Midfielder · 9 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
Y. Wissa
Midfielder · 10 apps
1
Goals
1
Assists
D. Rice
Midfielder · 10 apps
0
Goals
5
Assists
K. Havertz
Attacker · 10 apps
3
Goals
0
Assists
B. Saka
Midfielder · 7 apps
3
Goals
0
Assists
B. White
Defender · 7 apps
0
Goals
3
Assists
M. Ødegaard
Midfielder · 10 apps
3
Goals
0
Assists
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite for Newcastle vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is the favourite at 61% according to Polymarket and Kalshi: Newcastle 16%, draw 22%, Arsenal 61%.
What is Newcastle's current form?
Newcastle's last 5 results: Draw, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss.
Are there any injuries for Newcastle vs Arsenal?
Newcastle has 10 players injured or doubtful. Arsenal has 10 players injured or doubtful.
Where can I bet on Newcastle vs Arsenal?
On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.
Where is Newcastle vs Arsenal being played?
At St. James' Park, Newcastle.
Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
Newcastle
Unibet (SE)
6.00
17% implied
Draw
1xBet
4.42
23% implied
Arsenal
1xBet
1.63
61% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.