Newcastle
46%
Draw
26%
Bournemouth
29%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Newcastle
2 — 2
BournemouthDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Newcastle | Newcastle | 26% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Newcastle | Newcastle | 26% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Newcastle | Newcastle | 26% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Newcastle | XDraw | 2Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.19 | 3.90 | 3.49 |
| Kalshi | 2.20 | 3.88 | 3.48 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.23 | 3.86 | 3.41 |
Sportsbook Odds11 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Newcastle | XDraw | 2Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.46 | 3.81 | 2.89 |
 Tipico | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
 Betfair | 1.08 | 1.06 | 1.06 |
 William Hill | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
 Marathon | 2.42 | 3.75 | 2.84 |
 MyBookie | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.79 |
 888sport | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
 Betclic | 2.23 | 3.45 | 2.77 |
 Unibet (FR) | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
 Winamax (DE) | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Fair odds (average of 11, margin removed) | 2.51 | 3.72 | 3.00 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
Newcastle vs Bournemouth ended in a 2–2 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Newcastle was the favourite at 46% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Newcastle 46%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 29%).
