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Monday, November 2, 2026

Newcastle
46%
Draw
27%
Everton
28%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

NewcastleNewcastle
0 — 1
EvertonEverton
Everton wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Everton.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Newcastle28%✗ Upset
KalshiFavourite: Newcastle28%✗ Upset
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Newcastle29%✗ Upset
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.193.763.62
Kalshi2.203.743.61
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.273.753.41
Sportsbook Odds25 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.283.703.35
Matchbook
2.283.703.35
Unibet (NL)
2.163.753.45
Unibet (SE)
2.163.753.45
Pinnacle
2.233.653.31
Fair odds (average of 25, margin removed)2.273.753.41

Newcastle win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
John Brooks
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Newcastle
Everton
Oct 29, 26
Everton
3-1
Newcastle
Aug 12, 26
Newcastle
1-3
Everton
Feb 28, 26
Newcastle
2-3
Everton
Nov 29, 25
Everton
1-4
Newcastle
May 25, 25
Newcastle
0-1
Everton
Oct 5, 24
Everton
0-0
Newcastle
Apr 2, 24
Newcastle
1-1
Everton
Dec 7, 23
Everton
3-0
Newcastle
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Newcastle vs Everton?

Everton won 1–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Newcastle was the favourite at 46% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Newcastle 46%, draw 27%, Everton 28%).