Newcastle
46%
Draw
27%
Everton
28%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Newcastle
0 — 1
Everton wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Everton.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 28% | ✗ Upset | |
| Newcastle | 28% | ✗ Upset | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Newcastle | Newcastle | 29% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Newcastle | XDraw | 2Everton |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 3.76 | 3.62 | |
| 2.20 | 3.74 | 3.61 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.27 | 3.75 | 3.41 |
Sportsbook Odds25 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Newcastle | XDraw | 2Everton |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 3.70 | 3.35 | |
| 2.28 | 3.70 | 3.35 | |
| 2.16 | 3.75 | 3.45 | |
| 2.16 | 3.75 | 3.45 | |
| 2.23 | 3.65 | 3.31 | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | |
| 2.17 | 3.64 | 3.38 | |
| 2.20 | 3.62 | 3.29 | |
| 2.19 | 3.50 | 3.14 | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 | |
| 2.20 | 3.69 | 3.43 | |
| 2.20 | 3.62 | 3.29 | |
| 2.10 | 3.45 | 3.10 | |
| 2.22 | 3.52 | 3.15 | |
| 2.23 | 3.45 | 3.20 | |
| 2.25 | 3.66 | 3.30 | |
| 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.20 | |
| 2.21 | 3.66 | 3.26 | |
| 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.30 | |
| 2.22 | 3.50 | 3.15 | |
PMU | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.30 | |
| 1.98 | 3.55 | 3.25 | |
| 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.10 | |
| 2.05 | 3.45 | 3.00 | |
| Fair odds (average of 25, margin removed) | 2.27 | 3.75 | 3.41 |
Newcastle win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Everton
Oct 29, 26
Everton
3-1
NewcastleAug 12, 26
Newcastle
1-3
EvertonFeb 28, 26
Newcastle
2-3
EvertonNov 29, 25
Everton
1-4
NewcastleMay 25, 25
Newcastle
0-1
EvertonOct 5, 24
Everton
0-0
NewcastleApr 2, 24
Newcastle
1-1
EvertonDec 7, 23
Everton
3-0
NewcastleFrequently Asked Questions
Who won Newcastle vs Everton?
Everton won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Newcastle was the favourite at 46% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Newcastle 46%, draw 27%, Everton 28%).