Newcastle
25%
Draw
24%
Liverpool
51%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Newcastle
2 — 2
LiverpoolDraw
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Draw.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 24% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Liverpool | Liverpool | 25% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Newcastle | XDraw | 2Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.04 | 4.21 | 1.94 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 4.00 | 4.08 | 1.98 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Newcastle | XDraw | 2Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
 1xBet | 3.73 | 4.16 | 1.97 |
 Matchbook | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.96 |
 Pinnacle | 3.63 | 3.95 | 1.91 |
 William Hill | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
 Marathon | 3.68 | 4.10 | 1.94 |
 BetOnline | 3.63 | 3.96 | 1.92 |
 MyBookie | 3.44 | 3.80 | 1.89 |
 888sport | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
 Betclic | 3.40 | 3.78 | 1.72 |
 Betsson | 3.60 | 3.85 | 1.95 |
 Codere | 3.55 | 3.95 | 1.94 |
 Coolbet | 3.55 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
 LeoVegas | 3.70 | 3.85 | 1.89 |
 NordicBet | 3.60 | 3.85 | 1.95 |
PMU | 3.65 | 3.75 | 1.88 |
 Tipico | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.85 |
 Unibet (FR) | 3.45 | 3.80 | 1.83 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85 | 3.95 | 1.94 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85 | 3.95 | 1.94 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.35 | 3.95 | 1.88 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.86 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 3.84 | 4.12 | 2.01 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Newcastle vs Liverpool ended in a 2–2 draw.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Liverpool was the favourite at 51% on Kalshi (closing prices: Newcastle 25%, draw 24%, Liverpool 51%).
