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Friday, October 30, 2026

Nice
36%
Draw
27%
Rennes
36%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

NiceNice
5 — 2
RennesRennes
Nice wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Nice.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Nice37%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Nice36%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Nice37%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.733.752.73
Kalshi2.763.642.76
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.683.732.79
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
2.643.702.84
1xBet
2.653.672.73
Pinnacle
2.563.662.77
William Hill
2.503.402.62
Marathon
2.583.582.66
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)2.683.732.79

Nice win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Allianz Riviera, Nice
Eric Wattellier
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Nice
Rennes
Mar 8, 26
Nice
0-4
Rennes
Oct 26, 25
Rennes
1-2
Nice
May 10, 25
Rennes
2-0
Nice
Jan 3, 25
Nice
3-2
Rennes
Jan 13, 24
Rennes
2-0
Nice
Nov 5, 23
Nice
2-0
Rennes
May 6, 23
Nice
2-1
Rennes
Jan 2, 23
Rennes
2-1
Nice
Lineups
Nice3-4-2-1
Coach: O. Pantaloni
23Y. DioufG
35X. Mandza TsiendiD
55Y. NdayishimiyeD
5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
92J. ClaussM
39D. CoulibalyM
6H. BoudaouiM
27N. NkounkouM
10S. DiopM
9M. AmouraM
11E. WahiF
Rennes3-5-2
Coach: F. Haise
16N. LemaîtreG
48A. Ait BoudlalD
4C. CresswellD
24A. RouaultD
95P. FrankowskiM
17S. SzymańskiM
21V. RongierM
28A. ThomassonM
18M. NagidaM
11Mousa TamariF
22B. DiaF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Nice vs Rennes?

Nice won 5–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Nice was the favourite at 36% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Nice 36%, draw 27%, Rennes 36%).