Nice
43%
Draw
26%
Strasbourg
31%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Nice
2 — 1
StrasbourgNice wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Nice.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Nice | Nice | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Nice | Nice | 43% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Nice | Nice | 42% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Nice | XDraw | 2Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.31 | 3.79 | 3.29 |
| Kalshi | 2.33 | 3.85 | 3.23 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.38 | 3.83 | 3.14 |
Nice win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
NiceStrasbourg
Oct 11, 26
Nice
2-1
StrasbourgApr 22, 26
Strasbourg
0-2
NiceApr 4, 26
Strasbourg
3-1
NiceJan 3, 26
Nice
1-1
StrasbourgApr 12, 25
Strasbourg
2-2
NiceNov 24, 24
Nice
2-1
StrasbourgApr 28, 24
Strasbourg
1-3
NiceSep 3, 23
Nice
2-0
StrasbourgLineups
Nice3-4-2-1
Coach: O. Pantaloni
23Y. DioufG
5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
55Y. NdayishimiyeD
35X. Mandza TsiendiD
92J. ClaussM
39D. CoulibalyM
28A. WitselM
27N. NkounkouM
7G. HeinM
9M. AmouraM
11E. WahiF
Strasbourg4-3-3
Coach: Hugo Oliveira
1F. JörgensenG
16G. AntwiD
4J. MitchellD
31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
36OsoD
23Diogo SousaM
21P. DiopM
14Dário EssugoM
7S. Amo-AmeyawF
40C. HarderF
80Gessime YassineF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Nice vs Strasbourg?
Nice won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Nice was the favourite at 43% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Nice 43%, draw 26%, Strasbourg 31%).
