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championshipFull Time

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Norwich City
63%
Draw
21%
Watford
16%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Norwich CityNorwich City
3 — 2
WatfordWatford
Norwich City wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Norwich City.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Norwich City62%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Norwich City64%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Norwich City61%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.624.636.03
Kalshi1.574.716.60
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.644.615.72
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.634.505.90
Codere
1.544.605.40
LeoVegas
1.564.506.00
Matchbook
1.634.505.90
Pinnacle
1.574.455.77
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)1.644.615.72

Norwich City win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Carrow Road, Norwich
Ben Speedie
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Norwich City
Watford
Oct 31, 26
Norwich
3-2
Watford
Dec 29, 25
Norwich
0-1
Watford
Dec 6, 25
Watford
3-2
Norwich
Aug 12, 25
Watford
1-2
Norwich
Feb 1, 25
Watford
0-1
Norwich
Sep 21, 24
Norwich
4-1
Watford
Feb 13, 24
Norwich
4-2
Watford
Nov 28, 23
Watford
3-2
Norwich
Lineups
Norwich4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Clement
32D. GrimshawG
3J. StaceyD
15Ruairi McConvilleD
33J. CórdobaD
14B. ChriseneD
16Jacob WrightM
26S. FieldM
11A. BrooksM
25P. MaghomaM
49A. MusabaM
30M. KvistgaardenF
Watford5-3-2
Coach: A. Dionisi
1F. RavagliaG
15K. DiattaD
4K. KebenD
6M. PollockD
29Branimir MlačićD
33J. ZemuraD
39E. KayembeM
5H. KyprianouM
22M. PayeroM
17Iker BravoF
10M. BoaduF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Norwich City vs Watford?

Norwich City won 3–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Norwich City was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Norwich City 63%, draw 21%, Watford 16%).