Norwich City
63%
Draw
21%
Watford
16%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Norwich City
3 — 2
Norwich City wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Norwich City.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City | 62% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Norwich City | 64% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Norwich City | Norwich City | 61% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Norwich City | XDraw | 2Watford |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 4.63 | 6.03 | |
| 1.57 | 4.71 | 6.60 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.64 | 4.61 | 5.72 |
Sportsbook Odds21 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Norwich City | XDraw | 2Watford |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 4.50 | 5.90 | |
| 1.54 | 4.60 | 5.40 | |
| 1.56 | 4.50 | 6.00 | |
| 1.63 | 4.50 | 5.90 | |
| 1.57 | 4.45 | 5.77 | |
| 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 | |
| 1.52 | 4.40 | 5.25 | |
| 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.75 | |
| 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 | |
| 1.54 | 4.40 | 5.16 | |
| 1.47 | 4.05 | 4.75 | |
| 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.35 | |
| 1.58 | 4.30 | 5.25 | |
| 1.51 | 4.52 | 5.32 | |
| 1.56 | 4.32 | 5.38 | |
PMU | 1.45 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| 1.47 | 4.30 | 5.50 | |
| 1.42 | 4.05 | 4.80 | |
| 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.30 | |
| 1.51 | 4.30 | 5.60 | |
| 1.50 | 4.20 | 4.70 | |
| Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed) | 1.64 | 4.61 | 5.72 |
Norwich City win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Watford
Oct 31, 26
Norwich
3-2
WatfordDec 29, 25
Norwich
0-1
WatfordDec 6, 25
Watford
3-2
NorwichAug 12, 25
Watford
1-2
NorwichFeb 1, 25
Watford
0-1
NorwichSep 21, 24
Norwich
4-1
WatfordFeb 13, 24
Norwich
4-2
WatfordNov 28, 23
Watford
3-2
NorwichLineups
Norwich4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Clement
32D. GrimshawG
3J. StaceyD
15Ruairi McConvilleD
33J. CórdobaD
14B. ChriseneD
16Jacob WrightM
26S. FieldM
11A. BrooksM
25P. MaghomaM
49A. MusabaM
30M. KvistgaardenF
Watford5-3-2
Coach: A. Dionisi
1F. RavagliaG
15K. DiattaD
4K. KebenD
6M. PollockD
29Branimir MlačićD
33J. ZemuraD
39E. KayembeM
5H. KyprianouM
22M. PayeroM
17Iker BravoF
10M. BoaduF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Norwich City vs Watford?
Norwich City won 3–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Norwich City was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Norwich City 63%, draw 21%, Watford 16%).