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Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

Sunday, October 18, 2026

Nottingham Forest

14%

Draw

24%

Arsenal

62%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Nottingham Forest

0 — 1

Arsenal

Arsenal wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Arsenal.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Arsenal	Arsenal	62%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Arsenal	Arsenal	62%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Arsenal	Arsenal	63%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Nottingham Forest	XDraw	2Arsenal
Polymarket	6.86	4.23	1.62
Kalshi	7.28	4.08	1.62
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	7.15	4.37	1.58

Sportsbook Odds25 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Nottingham Forest	XDraw	2Arsenal
Betfair	7.60	4.40	1.54
1xBet	7.30	4.26	1.55
Matchbook	7.40	4.40	1.55
Pinnacle	7.35	4.30	1.51
William Hill	6.50	3.90	1.53
Marathon	7.20	4.20	1.53
BetOnline	7.15	4.16	1.53
MyBookie	6.30	4.20	1.51
888sport	6.00	3.90	1.50
BetAnySports	7.15	4.16	1.53
Betclic	6.50	4.15	1.45
Betsson	6.92	4.13	1.50
Codere	6.40	4.30	1.52
Coolbet	7.35	4.25	1.54
Everygame	7.00	4.10	1.50
GTbets	6.51	4.10	1.52
LeoVegas	7.00	4.10	1.49
NordicBet	6.90	4.15	1.50
PMU	6.75	3.90	1.48
Tipico	7.00	4.20	1.47
Unibet (FR)	6.20	4.00	1.45
Unibet (NL)	7.00	4.25	1.51
Unibet (SE)	7.00	4.25	1.53
Winamax (DE)	6.25	4.20	1.49
Winamax (FR)	6.00	4.00	1.46
Fair odds (average of 25, margin removed)	7.15	4.37	1.58