Paderborn vs Hamburger SV

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Paderborn

41%

Draw

27%

Hamburger SV

32%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Paderborn

1 — 0

Hamburger SV

Paderborn wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Paderborn.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Paderborn	Paderborn	41%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Paderborn	Paderborn	40%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Paderborn	Paderborn	40%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Paderborn	XDraw	2Hamburger SV
Polymarket	2.46	3.75	3.06
Kalshi	2.48	3.62	3.12
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	2.50	3.78	2.97

Sportsbook Odds23 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Paderborn	XDraw	2Hamburger SV
Betfair	2.48	3.70	3.00
1xBet	2.44	3.85	2.89
Matchbook	2.48	3.70	3.00
Pinnacle	2.44	3.59	2.95
William Hill	2.30	3.50	2.75
Marathon	2.38	3.75	2.81
BetOnline	2.39	3.55	2.98
888sport	2.30	3.50	2.75
Betclic	2.30	3.48	2.70
Betsson	2.38	3.45	2.82
Codere	2.42	3.60	2.80
Coolbet	2.47	3.50	2.90
Everygame	2.40	3.45	2.85
GTbets	2.30	3.79	2.81
LeoVegas	2.28	3.50	2.75
NordicBet	2.38	3.45	2.85
PMU	2.25	3.40	2.70
Tipico	2.45	3.60	2.70
Unibet (FR)	2.25	3.50	2.70
Unibet (NL)	2.38	3.65	2.88
Unibet (SE)	2.43	3.75	2.90
Winamax (DE)	2.35	3.65	2.70
Winamax (FR)	2.25	3.50	2.60
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)	2.50	3.78	2.97