Porto
20%
Draw
24%
Manchester City
56%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Porto
0 — 2
Manchester CityManchester City wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Manchester City.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 56% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Manchester City | Manchester City | 55% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Porto | XDraw | 2Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.05 | 4.21 | 1.77 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 4.78 | 4.22 | 1.81 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Porto | XDraw | 2Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.42 | 3.98 | 1.82 |
 Betsson | 4.60 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
 Codere | 4.20 | 3.85 | 1.82 |
 Coolbet | 4.30 | 4.20 | 1.80 |
 NordicBet | 4.60 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
 Unibet (NL) | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.76 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.76 |
 Pinnacle | 4.18 | 3.90 | 1.79 |
 Betfair | 4.30 | 4.00 | 1.80 |
 William Hill | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
 Marathon | 4.40 | 3.96 | 1.81 |
 888sport | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
 Betclic | 3.95 | 3.68 | 1.74 |
 GTbets | 4.15 | 3.95 | 1.80 |
 LeoVegas | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.71 |
PMU | 4.40 | 3.90 | 1.71 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.77 |
 Winamax (DE) | 3.90 | 3.85 | 1.76 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50 | 3.45 | 1.66 |
Suprabets | 4.00 | 3.73 | 1.75 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 4.49 | 4.11 | 1.87 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Porto vs Manchester City?
Manchester City won 2–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Manchester City was the favourite at 56% on Kalshi (closing prices: Porto 20%, draw 24%, Manchester City 56%).
