Porto
65%
Draw
21%
PSV Eindhoven
15%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Porto
0 — 1
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: PSV Eindhoven.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Porto | Porto | 15% | ✗ Upset |
 KalshiFavourite: Porto | Porto | 15% | ✗ Upset |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Porto | Porto | 16% | ✗ Upset |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Porto | XDraw | 2PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.54 | 4.85 | 6.86 |
| Kalshi | 1.55 | 4.81 | 6.73 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.58 | 4.88 | 6.10 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Porto | XDraw | 2PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.57 | 4.80 | 6.20 |
 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.78 | 5.90 |
 Coolbet | 1.52 | 4.80 | 6.35 |
 Matchbook | 1.57 | 4.80 | 6.20 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.50 | 4.90 | 6.10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50 | 4.90 | 6.10 |
 Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.65 | 6.00 |
 William Hill | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
 Marathon | 1.53 | 4.65 | 5.75 |
 BetOnline | 1.52 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
 888sport | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
 BetAnySports | 1.52 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
 Betclic | 1.47 | 4.45 | 5.40 |
 Betsson | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.55 |
 Codere | 1.51 | 4.60 | 5.80 |
 GTbets | 1.53 | 4.54 | 5.76 |
 LeoVegas | 1.47 | 4.60 | 5.80 |
 NordicBet | 1.52 | 4.85 | 5.65 |
PMU | 1.43 | 4.35 | 5.50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.48 | 4.60 | 5.70 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.58 | 4.88 | 6.10 |
Porto win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Porto was the favourite at 65% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Porto 65%, draw 21%, PSV Eindhoven 15%).
