Portsmouth vs Swansea City

Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Portsmouth

37%

Draw

30%

Swansea City

34%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Portsmouth

3 — 1

Swansea City

Portsmouth wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Portsmouth.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Portsmouth	Portsmouth	37%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Portsmouth	Portsmouth	36%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Swansea City	Swansea City	33%	✗ Upset

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Portsmouth	XDraw	2Swansea City
Polymarket	2.73	3.37	2.97
Kalshi	2.75	3.35	2.96
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	3.06	3.44	2.61

Sportsbook Odds22 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Portsmouth	XDraw	2Swansea City
Betfair	3.05	3.40	2.58
LeoVegas	2.80	3.35	2.60
Matchbook	3.05	3.40	2.58
Pinnacle	3.01	3.32	2.52
William Hill	2.90	3.10	2.45
Marathon	2.78	3.15	2.51
BetOnline	2.82	3.38	2.54
888sport	2.88	3.10	2.40
1xBet	2.78	3.15	2.51
Betclic	2.85	3.10	2.23
Betsson	2.95	3.20	2.45
Codere	3.00	3.20	2.46
Coolbet	2.85	3.25	2.45
GTbets	2.86	3.26	2.51
NordicBet	2.95	3.19	2.46
PMU	2.60	3.05	2.38
Tipico	2.95	3.20	2.25
Unibet (FR)	2.65	2.85	2.05
Unibet (NL)	2.65	3.10	2.43
Unibet (SE)	2.70	3.20	2.50
Winamax (DE)	2.80	3.20	2.30
Winamax (FR)	2.75	3.15	2.25
Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed)	3.06	3.44	2.61