PSG
40%
Draw
21%
Barcelona
39%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
PSG
4 — 2
BarcelonaPSG wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: PSG.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: PSG | PSG | 40% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: PSG | PSG | 40% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: PSG | PSG | 40% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1PSG | XDraw | 2Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.52 | 4.63 | 2.58 |
| Kalshi | 2.49 | 4.86 | 2.55 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 2.53 | 4.67 | 2.57 |
PSG win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
PSGBarcelona
Oct 1, 25
Barcelona
1-2
Paris Saint GermainApr 16, 24
Barcelona
1-4
Paris Saint GermainApr 10, 24
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
BarcelonaMar 10, 21
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
BarcelonaFeb 16, 21
Barcelona
1-4
Paris Saint GermainMar 8, 17
Barcelona
6-1
Paris Saint GermainFeb 14, 17
Paris Saint Germain
4-0
BarcelonaApr 21, 15
Barcelona
2-0
Paris Saint GermainFrequently Asked Questions
Who won PSG vs Barcelona?
PSG won 4–2.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
PSG was the favourite at 40% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: PSG 40%, draw 21%, Barcelona 39%).
