PSG
3 — 1
Le MansPSG wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: PSG.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: PSG | PSG | 84% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: PSG | PSG | 84% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: PSG | PSG | 83% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1PSG | XDraw | 2Le Mans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.19 | 9.49 | 17.64 |
| Kalshi | 1.19 | 9.09 | 20.00 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.20 | 9.39 | 16.23 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1PSG | XDraw | 2Le Mans |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.19 | 9.60 | 17.50 |
 Coolbet | 1.13 | 10.50 | 20.00 |
 Pinnacle | 1.15 | 9.00 | 16.00 |
 William Hill | 1.12 | 8.50 | 15.00 |
 BetOnline | 1.16 | 9.00 | 16.00 |
 888sport | 1.12 | 8.50 | 15.00 |
 1xBet | 1.17 | 9.60 | 17.00 |
 Betclic | 1.13 | 9.00 | 16.00 |
 Betsson | 1.13 | 8.50 | 15.50 |
 Codere | 1.16 | 8.40 | 14.00 |
 Everygame | 1.12 | 9.00 | 15.00 |
 GTbets | 1.12 | 8.75 | 13.97 |
 LeoVegas | 1.16 | 9.00 | 19.00 |
 NordicBet | 1.14 | 8.60 | 15.50 |
 Tipico | 1.12 | 9.00 | 15.00 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.12 | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15 | 8.50 | 17.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16 | 9.00 | 19.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.15 | 9.00 | 11.50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14 | 8.50 | 11.00 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 1.20 | 9.40 | 16.22 |
PSG win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 3 meetings
PSGLe Mans
Feb 4, 25
Le Mans
0-2
Paris Saint GermainJul 14, 21
Paris Saint Germain
4-0
Le MansDec 18, 19
Le Mans
1-4
Paris Saint GermainFrequently Asked Questions
Who won PSG vs Le Mans?
PSG won 3–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
PSG was the favourite at 84% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: PSG 84%, draw 11%, Le Mans 5%).
