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PSG vs Lyon

Sunday, October 25, 2026

PSG

74%

Draw

16%

Lyon

11%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

PSG

2 — 0

Lyon

PSG wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: PSG.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: PSG	PSG	74%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: PSG	PSG	74%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: PSG	PSG	72%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1PSG	XDraw	2Lyon
Polymarket	1.35	6.42	9.48
Kalshi	1.36	6.37	9.28
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.39	6.02	8.77

Sportsbook Odds21 books

= best

Bookmaker	1PSG	XDraw	2Lyon
Betfair	1.36	6.00	9.60
1xBet	1.35	6.09	9.00
GTbets	1.38	5.61	8.39
Pinnacle	1.34	5.73	8.73
William Hill	1.30	5.00	7.50
Marathon	1.33	6.00	8.90
BetOnline	1.33	5.88	8.91
888sport	1.30	5.00	7.50
Betclic	1.30	5.75	7.25
Betsson	1.30	5.60	8.60
Codere	1.31	6.00	8.00
Coolbet	1.34	5.80	8.60
LeoVegas	1.34	6.00	9.50
NordicBet	1.30	5.60	8.70
PMU	1.28	5.20	8.00
Tipico	1.28	5.80	8.50
Unibet (FR)	1.28	6.00	7.50
Unibet (NL)	1.30	5.50	8.50
Unibet (SE)	1.34	6.00	9.50
Winamax (DE)	1.29	5.90	7.50
Winamax (FR)	1.30	5.75	7.00
Fair odds (average of 21, margin removed)	1.39	6.03	8.77