RB Leipzig
63%
Draw
19%
Elversberg
18%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
RB Leipzig
4 — 0
RB Leipzig wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: RB Leipzig.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| RB Leipzig | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won | |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig | 67% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1RB Leipzig | XDraw | 2Elversberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 5.10 | 5.69 | |
| 1.58 | 5.47 | 5.47 | |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.50 | 5.57 | 6.51 |
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1RB Leipzig | XDraw | 2Elversberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | 5.70 | 6.80 | |
| 1.48 | 5.60 | 6.21 | |
| 1.46 | 5.70 | 6.80 | |
| 1.41 | 5.40 | 7.00 | |
| 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.00 | |
| 1.45 | 5.36 | 6.38 | |
| 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.00 | |
| 1.44 | 5.45 | 6.05 | |
| 1.43 | 5.30 | 6.67 | |
| 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.00 | |
| 1.39 | 5.25 | 5.60 | |
| 1.42 | 5.10 | 6.10 | |
| 1.43 | 5.40 | 5.80 | |
| 1.45 | 5.10 | 6.64 | |
| 1.44 | 5.25 | 6.25 | |
| 1.44 | 5.38 | 6.02 | |
| 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.25 | |
| 1.42 | 5.15 | 6.10 | |
PMU | 1.35 | 4.90 | 6.10 |
| 1.42 | 5.50 | 6.00 | |
| 1.37 | 5.20 | 5.60 | |
| 1.43 | 5.30 | 5.70 | |
| 1.39 | 5.00 | 5.40 | |
| Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed) | 1.50 | 5.57 | 6.51 |
RB Leipzig win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Head to HeadLast 3 meetings
Elversberg
Oct 24, 26
RB Leipzig
4-0
SV ElversbergMar 2, 14
RB Leipzig
2-0
SV ElversbergSep 7, 13
SV Elversberg
1-0
RB LeipzigLineups
RB Leipzig4-5-1
Coach: M. Demichelis
1Ø. NylandG
39B. HenrichsD
4W. OrbánD
3M. EstèveD
35Max FinkgräfeD
30A. MaksimoviÄM
20R. ReitzM
21N. El AynaouiM
6E. BanzuziM
7A. NusaM
27T. GomisF
SV Elversberg4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Wagner
20N. KristofG
30J. GyamerahD
19L. PinckertD
31M. RohrD
21L. GüntherD
43F. KeidelM
8Ł. PorębaM
25L. PetkovM
17F. SchmahlM
7M. KrattenmacherM
42D. MokwaF
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
RB Leipzig won 4–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
RB Leipzig was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: RB Leipzig 63%, draw 19%, Elversberg 18%).