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bundesligaFull Time

Saturday, October 24, 2026

RB Leipzig
63%
Draw
19%
Elversberg
18%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
4 — 0
ElversbergElversberg
RB Leipzig wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: RB Leipzig.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: RB Leipzig63%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: RB Leipzig63%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: RB Leipzig67%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.595.105.69
Kalshi1.585.475.47
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.505.576.51
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.465.706.80
1xBet
1.485.606.21
Matchbook
1.465.706.80
Unibet (NL)
1.415.407.00
Unibet (SE)
1.435.507.00
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)1.505.576.51

RB Leipzig win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Bastian Dankert
Head to HeadLast 3 meetings
RB Leipzig
Elversberg
Oct 24, 26
RB Leipzig
4-0
SV Elversberg
Mar 2, 14
RB Leipzig
2-0
SV Elversberg
Sep 7, 13
SV Elversberg
1-0
RB Leipzig
Lineups
RB Leipzig4-5-1
Coach: M. Demichelis
1Ø. NylandG
39B. HenrichsD
4W. OrbánD
3M. EstèveD
35Max FinkgräfeD
30A. MaksimovićM
20R. ReitzM
21N. El AynaouiM
6E. BanzuziM
7A. NusaM
27T. GomisF
SV Elversberg4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Wagner
20N. KristofG
30J. GyamerahD
19L. PinckertD
31M. RohrD
21L. GüntherD
43F. KeidelM
8Ł. PorębaM
25L. PetkovM
17F. SchmahlM
7M. KrattenmacherM
42D. MokwaF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?

RB Leipzig won 4–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

RB Leipzig was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: RB Leipzig 63%, draw 19%, Elversberg 18%).