RB Leipzig
63%
Draw
19%
PSV Eindhoven
19%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
RB Leipzig
1 — 0
PSV EindhovenRB Leipzig wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: RB Leipzig.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig | 63% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: RB Leipzig | RB Leipzig | 62% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1RB Leipzig | XDraw | 2PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.58 | 5.43 | 5.43 |
| Kalshi | 1.59 | 5.37 | 5.37 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.60 | 5.32 | 5.33 |
RB Leipzig win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
RB Leipzig won 1–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
RB Leipzig was the favourite at 63% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: RB Leipzig 63%, draw 19%, PSV Eindhoven 19%).
