RB Salzburg
28%
Draw
27%
AC Milan
45%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
RB Salzburg
0 — 4
AC MilanAC Milan wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: AC Milan.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: AC Milan | AC Milan | 46% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: AC Milan | AC Milan | 45% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: AC Milan | AC Milan | 46% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1RB Salzburg | XDraw | 2AC Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3.65 | 3.79 | 2.16 |
| Kalshi | 3.48 | 3.74 | 2.24 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 3.58 | 3.86 | 2.17 |
RB Salzburg win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won RB Salzburg vs AC Milan?
AC Milan won 4–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
AC Milan was the favourite at 45% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: RB Salzburg 28%, draw 27%, AC Milan 45%).
