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Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Real Betis
45%
Draw
27%
Porto
29%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Real BetisReal Betis
3 — 2
PortoPorto
Real Betis wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Real Betis.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Real Betis45%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Real Betis45%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Real Betis45%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket2.243.753.49
Kalshi2.223.783.52
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)2.233.813.45

Real Betis win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville
Clement Turpin
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Real Betis vs Porto?

Real Betis won 3–2.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Real Betis was the favourite at 45% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Real Betis 45%, draw 27%, Porto 29%).