Real Madrid
85%
Draw
10%
Alavés
5%
Prediction-market prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Prediction markets vs bookmakers
| Platform | 1Real Madrid | XDraw | 2Alavés |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi | 1.18 | 10.05 | 18.27 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.22 | 8.78 | 15.31 |
Sportsbook Odds10 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Real Madrid | XDraw | 2Alavés |
|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.16 | 9.40 | 19.50 |
 Tipico | 1.13 | 9.50 | 14.00 |
 Pinnacle | 1.15 | 8.89 | 14.34 |
 William Hill | 1.15 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
 Marathon | 1.15 | 8.50 | 18.00 |
 Betsson | 1.13 | 8.70 | 17.50 |
 NordicBet | 1.13 | 8.60 | 17.00 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.07 | 6.40 | 11.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.14 | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.10 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
| Fair odds (average of 10, margin removed) | 1.22 | 8.78 | 15.31 |
Real Madrid win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite for Real Madrid vs Alavés?
Real Madrid is the favourite at 85% according to Kalshi: Real Madrid 85%, draw 10%, Alavés 5%.
Where can I bet on Real Madrid vs Alavés?
On prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi — availability depends on your country) or with bookmakers such as Pinnacle, Betfair and 20+ others. This page compares their prices side by side.
Best Available OddsHighest payout per €1
Real Madrid
1xBet
1.16
86% implied
Draw
Tipico
9.50
11% implied
Alavés
1xBet
19.50
5% implied
Best bookmaker price per outcome. Higher odds = bigger payout if it hits.
