Real Madrid
60%
Draw
21%
Inter Milan
19%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Real Madrid
2 — 1
Inter MilanReal Madrid wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Real Madrid.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiFavourite: Real Madrid | Real Madrid | 60% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Real Madrid | Real Madrid | 59% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds
| Platform | 1Real Madrid | XDraw | 2Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.67 | 4.76 | 5.26 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.69 | 4.63 | 5.24 |
Sportsbook Odds20 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Real Madrid | XDraw | 2Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.62 | 4.80 | 5.50 |
 1xBet | 1.63 | 4.42 | 5.38 |
 Unibet (NL) | 1.56 | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56 | 4.80 | 5.60 |
 Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.34 | 5.07 |
 William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
 Marathon | 1.62 | 4.40 | 5.35 |
 888sport | 1.61 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
 Betclic | 1.53 | 4.15 | 4.85 |
 Betsson | 1.62 | 4.25 | 5.25 |
 Codere | 1.59 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
 Coolbet | 1.60 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
 GTbets | 1.60 | 4.22 | 5.28 |
 LeoVegas | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.25 |
 NordicBet | 1.62 | 4.25 | 5.25 |
PMU | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.54 | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47 | 3.85 | 4.20 |
Suprabets | 1.56 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| Fair odds (average of 20, margin removed) | 1.67 | 4.59 | 5.43 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Inter Milan?
Real Madrid won 2–1.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Real Madrid was the favourite at 60% on Kalshi (closing prices: Real Madrid 60%, draw 21%, Inter Milan 19%).
