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Roma vs Cagliari

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Roma

70%

Draw

20%

Cagliari

11%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

Roma

4 — 2

Cagliari

Roma wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Roma.

Source	Favourite	Result %Chance given to the result	Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Roma	Roma	70%	✓ Favourite won Won
KalshiFavourite: Roma	Roma	69%	✓ Favourite won Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Roma	Roma	74%	✓ Favourite won Won

Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price

Platform	1Roma	XDraw	2Cagliari
Polymarket	1.43	5.10	9.48
Kalshi	1.44	5.05	9.18
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)	1.36	5.68	11.29

Sportsbook Odds24 books

= best

Bookmaker	1Roma	XDraw	2Cagliari
Betfair	1.34	5.80	11.50
1xBet	1.33	5.48	12.10
Matchbook	1.34	5.80	11.50
Unibet (SE)	1.29	6.00	11.50
Pinnacle	1.31	5.51	10.80
William Hill	1.30	5.00	10.00
Marathon	1.31	5.40	12.00
BetOnline	1.30	5.55	11.50
888sport	1.30	5.00	10.00
BetAnySports	1.31	5.30	10.70
Betclic	1.26	5.25	10.00
Betsson	1.30	5.30	10.50
Codere	1.31	5.40	10.00
Coolbet	1.31	5.60	11.30
Everygame	1.30	5.25	11.00
GTbets	1.29	5.18	11.03
LeoVegas	1.25	5.30	10.50
NordicBet	1.29	5.25	10.50
PMU	1.23	5.20	10.00
Tipico	1.27	5.50	11.00
Unibet (FR)	1.24	5.50	10.00
Unibet (NL)	1.27	5.60	11.50
Winamax (DE)	1.27	5.30	10.00
Winamax (FR)	1.25	5.00	9.00
Fair odds (average of 24, margin removed)	1.36	5.68	11.29