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Saturday, October 17, 2026

Roma
60%
Draw
25%
Genoa
16%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

RomaRoma
2 — 0
GenoaGenoa
Roma wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Roma.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Roma60%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Roma59%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Roma58%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket1.674.066.42
Kalshi1.684.046.31
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)1.724.005.90
Sportsbook Odds23 books
= best
Bookmaker1X2
Betfair
1.703.856.40
GTbets
1.564.075.73
Matchbook
1.703.856.40
Pinnacle
1.653.906.00
William Hill
1.623.705.00
Fair odds (average of 23, margin removed)1.724.005.90

Roma win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Rosario Abisso
Head to HeadLast 8 meetings
Roma
Genoa
Mar 8, 26
Genoa
2-1
AS Roma
Dec 29, 25
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Jan 17, 25
AS Roma
3-1
Genoa
Sep 15, 24
Genoa
1-1
AS Roma
May 19, 24
AS Roma
1-0
Genoa
Sep 28, 23
Genoa
4-1
AS Roma
Jan 12, 23
AS Roma
1-0
Genoa
Feb 5, 22
AS Roma
0-0
Genoa
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Roma vs Genoa?

Roma won 2–0.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Roma was the favourite at 60% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Roma 60%, draw 25%, Genoa 16%).