Roma
87%
Draw
10%
Slovan Bratislava
4%
Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).
Roma
4 — 0
Slovan BratislavaRoma wins
How the markets called it
Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Roma.
| Source | Favourite | Result %Chance given to the result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketFavourite: Roma | Roma | 87% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
 KalshiFavourite: Roma | Roma | 86% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
| Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Roma | Roma | 86% | ✓ Favourite won Won |
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
| Platform | 1Roma | XDraw | 2Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.15 | 10.57 | 29.15 |
| Kalshi | 1.16 | 10.10 | 25.25 |
| Bookmakers (fair, margin removed) | 1.16 | 10.74 | 23.70 |
Sportsbook Odds22 books
= best| Bookmaker | 1Roma | XDraw | 2Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
 Betfair | 1.14 | 10.50 | 28.00 |
 1xBet | 1.11 | 12.30 | 30.00 |
 Pinnacle | 1.12 | 9.85 | 25.00 |
 William Hill | 1.10 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
 Marathon | 1.10 | 10.50 | 26.00 |
 BetOnline | 1.12 | 9.75 | 24.00 |
 888sport | 1.10 | 10.00 | 23.00 |
 BetAnySports | 1.11 | 10.00 | 21.00 |
 Betclic | 1.08 | 9.00 | 17.00 |
 Betsson | 1.09 | 11.00 | 24.00 |
 Codere | 1.10 | 10.00 | 21.00 |
 Coolbet | 1.13 | 10.50 | 25.00 |
 GTbets | 1.10 | 10.28 | 23.93 |
 LeoVegas | 1.10 | 10.00 | 21.00 |
 Matchbook | 1.13 | 10.50 | 28.00 |
 NordicBet | 1.10 | 11.00 | 25.00 |
PMU | 1.08 | 9.00 | 19.00 |
 Unibet (FR) | 1.05 | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11 | 11.00 | 26.00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12 | 11.00 | 26.00 |
 Winamax (DE) | 1.09 | 10.50 | 17.00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.08 | 9.50 | 16.00 |
| Fair odds (average of 22, margin removed) | 1.16 | 10.74 | 23.69 |
Roma win probability over time
Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won Roma vs Slovan Bratislava?
Roma won 4–0.
Who was the favourite before kick-off?
Roma was the favourite at 87% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Roma 87%, draw 10%, Slovan Bratislava 4%).
