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Tuesday, October 20, 2026

Sabah
9%
Draw
15%
Borussia Dortmund
76%

Prediction-market closing prices (Polymarket and Kalshi average).

SabahSabah
1 — 2
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund wins

How the markets called it

Closing prices, last snapshot before kick-off. Result: Borussia Dortmund.

SourceResult %Verdict
PolymarketFavourite: Borussia Dortmund77%✓ Won
KalshiFavourite: Borussia Dortmund75%✓ Won
Bookmakers (consensus)Favourite: Borussia Dortmund74%✓ Won
Prediction markets vs bookmakers — closing odds= cheaper price
Platform1X2
Polymarket11.716.861.30
Kalshi11.346.371.32
Bookmakers (fair, margin removed)9.936.361.35

Sabah win probability over time

Polymarket and Kalshi prices against the bookmaker consensus, up to kick-off.

Baku Olympic Stadium, Baku
Javier Alberola Rojas
Head to HeadLast 1 meetings
Sabah
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 20, 26
Sabah FA
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Lineups
Sabah FA4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Dambrauskas
92S. PokatilovG
80A. ZedadkaD
3S. SolvetD
4A. McCarthyD
27T. PuchaczD
7U. RahmonaliyevM
13I. LepinjicaM
11K. ParrisM
37Du QueirozM
21V. SimićM
20J. MickelsF
Borussia Dortmund3-4-2-1
Coach: N. Kovač
1G. KobelG
3W. AntonD
4N. SchlotterbeckD
5R. BensebaïniD
26J. RyersonM
8F. NmechaM
25J. VeermanM
24D. SvenssonM
17C. ChukwuemekaM
21Fábio SilvaM
9S. GuirassyF
Frequently Asked Questions

Who won Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund won 2–1.

Who was the favourite before kick-off?

Borussia Dortmund was the favourite at 76% on Polymarket and Kalshi (closing prices: Sabah 9%, draw 15%, Borussia Dortmund 76%).